NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN NY
Points 113.0 109.3
Total Points   222.3
Points From 2-Pointers 64.0 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 34.3 34.7
Points From Free Throws 14.7 18.1
Shooting DEN NY
Field Goals Made 43.4 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 88.9
Field Goal % 49.8% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 32.0 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 56.1 56.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 14.7 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 23.1
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.1%
Ball Control DEN NY
Rebounds 48.0 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 15.2
Turnovers 11.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.0
Steals 5.5 6.3
Fouls 16.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN NY
Total Possessions 97.6
Effective Scoring Chances 98.5 102.3
% of Possessions with DEN NY
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 28.1%
Player Fouled 16.0% 16.8%
Turnover 11.3% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN NY
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 29.7%