NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN LAL
Points 117.3 112.7
Total Points   229.9
Points From 2-Pointers 66.3 62.5
Points From 3-Pointers 38.0 31.0
Points From Free Throws 13.0 19.2
Shooting DEN LAL
Field Goals Made 45.8 41.6
Field Goals Attempted 93.6 85.5
Field Goal % 48.9% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 33.2 31.2
2 Pointers Attempted 60.2 57.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 28.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 13.0 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 24.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.8%
Ball Control DEN LAL
Rebounds 49.9 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 9.2
Turnovers 10.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.5
Steals 6.8 5.9
Fouls 17.5 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN LAL
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 99.4
% of Possessions with DEN LAL
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 24.9%
Player Fouled 13.4% 17.3%
Turnover 10.6% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN LAL
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 19.7%