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Denver vs. LA Lakers
Sat Sep 26, 2020
9:00pm ET
Kissimmee, FL
(Neutral Site)
Denver vs. LA Lakers: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Los Angeles by 5, Total Points: 216.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 38-42-2 | 40-44-0 | |
| vs Division | 6-10-0 | 6-11-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-29-1 | 24-29-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 21-19-1 | 19-22-0 | |
| Away | 17-23-1 | 21-22-0 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Okla City | -3.5 | W by 33 | +29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Chicago | -9.0 | W by 22 | +13.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | New Orleans | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Golden State | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Houston | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Cleveland | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Orlando | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.0 | W by 9 | +20.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Phoenix | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Sacramento | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 8 | -17.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Chicago | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Okla City | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Dallas | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Charlotte | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Golden State | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | W by 37 | +28.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 26 | -28.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Charlotte | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Golden State | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Orlando | -10.0 | L by 2 | -12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Detroit | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Utah | -7.0 | L by 13 | -20.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Washington | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | New York | -2.5 | L by 38 | -40.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Okla City | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Portland | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 29 | -26.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Washington | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 21 | +12.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Miami | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Phoenix | -8.5 | L by 10 | -18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Boston | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Toronto | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Miami | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | New York | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Cleveland | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | San Antonio | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 04/04 | Away | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 04/06 | Home | Atlanta | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Utah | -15.5 | W by 16 | +0.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 1 | -12.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
LA Lakers Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Away | Denver | +5.0 | L by 12 | -7.0 |
| 10/26 | Home | Phoenix | -6.5 | W by 5 | -1.5 |
| 10/29 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | LA Clippers | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Orlando | -3.5 | L by 19 | -22.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Miami | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Houston | -2.0 | L by 34 | -36.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Phoenix | +2.0 | W by 3 | +5.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Portland | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 27 | +20.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Sacramento | -1.5 | L by 15 | -16.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 12 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Houston | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Utah | -7.5 | W by 32 | +24.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Dallas | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Cleveland | +4.0 | W by 6 | +10.0 |
| 11/27 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 44 | -38.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 26 | +18.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Okla City | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Houston | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | New Orleans | -2.0 | W by 44 | +42.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Dallas | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | San Antonio | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | San Antonio | -4.0 | L by 14 | -18.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | New York | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 16 | -19.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Minnesota | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Okla City | +3.5 | W by 9 | +12.5 |
| 12/25 | Home | Boston | +5.0 | L by 11 | -6.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Charlotte | -13.0 | W by 21 | +8.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | New Orleans | +5.5 | L by 20 | -14.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Miami | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Memphis | -4.0 | L by 14 | -18.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | LA Clippers | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Toronto | -5.0 | W by 1 | -4.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Phoenix | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Utah | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Dallas | -3.0 | W by 17 | +14.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 18 | -25.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Portland | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | LA Clippers | +9.5 | L by 11 | -1.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Chicago | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Golden State | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Houston | -1.0 | L by 16 | -17.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Atlanta | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Boston | +15.5 | W by 9 | +24.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | New York | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Charlotte | -13.0 | W by 6 | -7.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | New Orleans | +2.5 | W by 17 | +19.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 14 | +2.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Utah | +5.0 | W by 16 | +21.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Golden State | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Phoenix | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.5 | W by 4 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | Washington | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Denver | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Sacramento | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/13 | Away | Sacramento | -2.5 | L by 13 | -15.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | Golden State | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | Atlanta | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Indiana | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/26 | Away | Milwaukee | +9.5 | W by 4 | +13.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Memphis | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Indiana | +3.5 | L by 19 | -15.5 |
| 03/31 | Away | Brooklyn | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Toronto | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | Washington | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 04/06 | Home | Cleveland | -5.0 | W by 19 | +14.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Golden State | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Memphis | -15.5 | W by 3 | -12.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | New Orleans | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 04/16 | Away | New Orleans | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| LAL -5.0 | Open | -6.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 1206 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Los Angeles won the game 762 times (63.2%).
- The team like Denver won the game 444 times (36.8%).
- The team like Los Angeles did better against the spread, going 612-578-16 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 0 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.5 | -5.0 |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -6.0 |
| History | |||
| 09/26 09:01 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:31 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:15 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 09/26 08:07 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:04 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 05:41 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 05:10 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 04:52 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 04:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:58 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:04 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:58 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:28 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 01:59 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 01:22 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 01:01 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 12:31 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 12:14 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 09/26 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 09/26 12:01 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 11:25 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 10:58 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 10:19 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:26 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:44 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/26 04:34 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/26 04:13 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:40 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 09:53 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:19 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:13 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 07:44 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 09/25 07:25 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 07:25 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 09/25 07:05 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 09/25 06:58 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:56 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:46 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:45 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 09/25 12:37 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 12:34 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
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