NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN ORL
Points 109.6 105.4
Total Points   214.9
Points From 2-Pointers 62.3 57.2
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 28.7
Points From Free Throws 16.3 19.4
Shooting DEN ORL
Field Goals Made 41.5 38.2
Field Goals Attempted 84.5 84.2
Field Goal % 49.1% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 31.2 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.9 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.6 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 16.3 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 25.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 75.6%
Ball Control DEN ORL
Rebounds 47.4 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 12.3
Turnovers 12.7 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.6
Steals 6.9 7.0
Fouls 18.3 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN ORL
Total Possessions 98.9
Effective Scoring Chances 96.8 99.2
% of Possessions with DEN ORL
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 25.1%
Player Fouled 17.7% 18.5%
Turnover 12.8% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN ORL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 25.1%