NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN BK
Points 114.2 106.8
Total Points   221.0
Points From 2-Pointers 64.9 55.0
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 35.0
Points From Free Throws 15.9 16.8
Shooting DEN BK
Field Goals Made 43.6 39.2
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 89.1
Field Goal % 49.4% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 32.5 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 58.6 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 15.9 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 21.9
Free Throw % 77.2% 76.5%
Ball Control DEN BK
Rebounds 50.9 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 13.4
Turnovers 11.0 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.7
Steals 5.8 6.0
Fouls 15.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN BK
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 101.8
% of Possessions with DEN BK
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 29.2%
Player Fouled 16.3% 15.9%
Turnover 11.1% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN BK
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 25.6%