NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN PHO
Points 113.3 111.8
Total Points   225.1
Points From 2-Pointers 62.4 60.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 32.2
Points From Free Throws 15.5 19.2
Shooting DEN PHO
Field Goals Made 43.0 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.6 85.9
Field Goal % 47.0% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 31.2 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 59.2 56.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 29.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 24.1
Free Throw % 77.2% 79.6%
Ball Control DEN PHO
Rebounds 48.0 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 12.2
Turnovers 10.2 12.4
Blocked Shots 5.0 5.4
Steals 7.3 6.0
Fouls 17.0 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN PHO
Total Possessions 100.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 100.0
% of Possessions with DEN PHO
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 25.3%
Player Fouled 15.3% 16.9%
Turnover 10.2% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN PHO
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 25.8%