NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN PHO
Points 117.9 115.6
Total Points   233.4
Points From 2-Pointers 56.9 52.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.2 46.8
Points From Free Throws 21.8 16.3
Shooting DEN PHO
Field Goals Made 41.5 41.8
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 92.9
Field Goal % 49.5% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 49.7 48.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 15.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 44.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 21.8 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 27.0 21.2
Free Throw % 80.7% 76.8%
Ball Control DEN PHO
Rebounds 50.5 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 39.1 33.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 14.5
Turnovers 12.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.4
Steals 5.5 7.7
Fouls 16.8 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN PHO
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 99.8 105.9
% of Possessions with DEN PHO
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 37.8%
Player Fouled 20.1% 16.5%
Turnover 12.7% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN PHO
Shot Blocked 4.8% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 27.1%