NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN PHO
Points 122.7 117.4
Total Points   240.1
Points From 2-Pointers 66.2 56.4
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 44.8
Points From Free Throws 18.5 16.2
Shooting DEN PHO
Field Goals Made 45.8 43.1
Field Goals Attempted 89.7 90.2
Field Goal % 51.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 33.1 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 51.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 14.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 39.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 18.5 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 20.0
Free Throw % 77.1% 81.1%
Ball Control DEN PHO
Rebounds 49.9 45.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 34.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 11.3
Turnovers 10.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.8
Steals 7.5 6.9
Fouls 15.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN PHO
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 101.9
% of Possessions with DEN PHO
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 33.9%
Player Fouled 16.2% 15.3%
Turnover 10.7% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN PHO
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 23.1%