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Denver at Okla City
Fri Feb 21, 2020
8:00pm ET
Oklahoma City, OK
Denver at Okla City: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Oklahoma City by 1.5, Total Points: 216
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | OKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 39-43-2 | 47-36-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-10-0 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 23-30-1 | 31-22-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 22-20-1 | 28-15-0 | |
| Away | 17-23-1 | 19-21-1 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 12 | +7.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Memphis | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Okla City | -3.5 | W by 33 | +29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Dallas | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Chicago | -9.0 | W by 22 | +13.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | New Orleans | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Golden State | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Houston | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | New Orleans | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Cleveland | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Orlando | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | L by 19 | -22.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 12 | +1.5 |
| 11/27 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.0 | W by 9 | +20.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Phoenix | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Sacramento | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | L by 8 | -17.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Chicago | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Okla City | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Dallas | -8.0 | W by 26 | +18.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Charlotte | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Golden State | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | W by 37 | +28.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Okla City | -2.0 | L by 26 | -28.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Charlotte | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Golden State | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Orlando | -10.0 | L by 2 | -12.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Detroit | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Utah | -7.0 | L by 13 | -20.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Boston | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Washington | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Indiana | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | New York | -2.5 | L by 38 | -40.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Philadelphia | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Okla City | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Portland | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | L by 29 | -26.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Washington | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 16 | +18.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Sacramento | -9.0 | W by 21 | +12.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Miami | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Phoenix | -8.5 | L by 10 | -18.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Boston | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Toronto | -17.0 | W by 6 | -11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Miami | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | New York | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | W by 3 | -7.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | Phoenix | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Cleveland | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | San Antonio | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 04/04 | Away | LA Clippers | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 04/06 | Home | Atlanta | -10.5 | W by 32 | +21.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Utah | -15.5 | W by 16 | +0.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 1 | -12.5 |
| 04/14 | Away | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 04/20 | Home | LA Lakers | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 04/22 | Home | LA Lakers | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
Okla City Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Chicago | +2.5 | W by 20 | +22.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Cleveland | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 10/29 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 33 | -29.5 |
| 10/30 | Home | Detroit | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 11/03 | Home | Golden State | +6.0 | L by 2 | +4.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Cleveland | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Sacramento | -1.5 | L by 7 | -8.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Phoenix | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | San Antonio | -10.0 | W by 36 | +26.0 |
| 11/16 | Away | Golden State | -3.0 | W by 19 | +16.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Portland | -7.0 | W by 43 | +36.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Chicago | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Philadelphia | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Dallas | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Houston | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Utah | -13.0 | W by 14 | +1.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Sacramento | +2.0 | L by 5 | -3.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Denver | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Memphis | -10.5 | W by 19 | +8.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 19 | +12.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Minnesota | -2.0 | W by 23 | +21.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | New York | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Denver | +2.0 | W by 26 | +28.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Boston | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Atlanta | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Washington | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 62 | +48.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Orlando | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | LA Clippers | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 2 | -11.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 26 | +17.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | New Orleans | -1.0 | W by 24 | +23.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | L by 16 | -28.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Denver | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Charlotte | -15.5 | W by 20 | +4.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Toronto | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Dallas | -1.0 | L by 35 | -36.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Sacramento | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Orlando | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | LA Clippers | -1.5 | W by 22 | +20.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Washington | -16.0 | W by 41 | +25.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Houston | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Houston | -10.0 | W by 17 | +7.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | L by 14 | -25.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Phoenix | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Portland | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Memphis | -15.0 | W by 31 | +16.0 |
| 03/12 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Dallas | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Memphis | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | Utah | -16.0 | W by 12 | -4.0 |
| 03/22 | Away | Toronto | -16.5 | W by 20 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 03/26 | Away | New Orleans | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Houston | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | Phoenix | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 1 | -1.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | Boston | +12.0 | L by 35 | -23.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Indiana | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Sacramento | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | San Antonio | -17.0 | W by 38 | +21.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Milwaukee | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Dallas | -19.5 | W by 49 | +29.5 |
| 04/21 | Home | New Orleans | -9.0 | W by 2 | -7.0 |
| 04/24 | Home | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 32 | +24.5 |
| OKC -1.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | +1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 799 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Oklahoma City won the game 436 times (54.6%).
- The team like Denver won the game 363 times (45.4%).
- The team like Oklahoma City did better against the spread, going 408-380-11 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 1482 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Denver did better against the spread, going 735-721-26 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Open | +1.0 | -1.0 | -1.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/21 08:00 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 07:44 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/21 07:30 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 07:28 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 07:15 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 02/21 07:14 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 07:09 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:56 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:47 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:38 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 06:24 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 02/21 06:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 02/21 06:12 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 05:56 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 05:49 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 04:49 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 03:00 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 01:21 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 12:54 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 12:34 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/21 12:24 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 12:14 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 10:57 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 10:28 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 09:57 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 08:52 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 08:17 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 08:01 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 07:14 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 04:48 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 03:45 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 03:44 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 02/21 01:14 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 02/21 12:35 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 02/21 12:28 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 10:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 02/20 09:54 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 02/20 09:32 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 09:04 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 02/20 08:58 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 08:44 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 08:14 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 02/20 08:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 02/20 07:52 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 07:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 02/20 06:39 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 04:04 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 02/20 03:54 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 02/20 03:50 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 03:49 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
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