NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN OKC
Points 112.7 115.1
Total Points   227.8
Points From 2-Pointers 59.4 62.4
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 34.2
Points From Free Throws 16.5 18.5
Shooting DEN OKC
Field Goals Made 42.0 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.7 88.5
Field Goal % 46.8% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 31.2
2 Pointers Attempted 56.5 57.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 30.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 16.5 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 22.5
Free Throw % 76.8% 82.2%
Ball Control DEN OKC
Rebounds 51.0 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 10.1
Turnovers 12.8 10.5
Blocked Shots 5.5 5.9
Steals 6.0 6.9
Fouls 16.9 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN OKC
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 100.9
% of Possessions with DEN OKC
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 26.9%
Player Fouled 15.9% 16.7%
Turnover 12.6% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN OKC
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 21.3%