NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN OKC
Points 113.4 115.7
Total Points   229.1
Points From 2-Pointers 60.2 62.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.2 34.8
Points From Free Throws 17.0 18.4
Shooting DEN OKC
Field Goals Made 42.1 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 89.1
Field Goal % 47.1% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 30.1 31.2
2 Pointers Attempted 57.2 58.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.3 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 17.0 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 22.3
Free Throw % 77.2% 82.8%
Ball Control DEN OKC
Rebounds 50.8 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 10.6
Turnovers 12.9 10.5
Blocked Shots 5.4 6.2
Steals 6.1 6.9
Fouls 16.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN OKC
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 101.5
% of Possessions with DEN OKC
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 26.9%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.6%
Turnover 12.7% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN OKC
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 22.1%