NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN POR
Points 119.4 103.9
Total Points   223.3
Points From 2-Pointers 70.5 57.0
Points From 3-Pointers 31.6 29.8
Points From Free Throws 17.4 17.1
Shooting DEN POR
Field Goals Made 45.8 38.4
Field Goals Attempted 86.7 90.3
Field Goal % 52.8% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 35.2 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 60.5
2 Point Shooting % 61.9% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 29.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 17.4 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 21.6
Free Throw % 76.8% 79.4%
Ball Control DEN POR
Rebounds 50.4 46.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.5 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 14.9
Turnovers 11.5 12.2
Blocked Shots 6.7 4.0
Steals 7.3 6.2
Fouls 15.4 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN POR
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 102.6
% of Possessions with DEN POR
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 25.3%
Player Fouled 17.7% 15.4%
Turnover 11.6% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN POR
Shot Blocked 4.5% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 28.0%