NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN GS
Points 116.1 113.1
Total Points   229.2
Points From 2-Pointers 63.4 58.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.0 38.2
Points From Free Throws 15.7 16.2
Shooting DEN GS
Field Goals Made 44.0 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 90.9 91.1
Field Goal % 48.4% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 31.7 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.5 56.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 15.7 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 20.8
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.7%
Ball Control DEN GS
Rebounds 49.8 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 13.9
Turnovers 10.6 11.5
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.4
Steals 6.4 5.7
Fouls 15.3 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN GS
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.8 103.2
% of Possessions with DEN GS
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 29.7%
Player Fouled 16.4% 15.2%
Turnover 10.5% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN GS
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 27.2%