NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN WAS
Points 123.4 109.1
Total Points   232.5
Points From 2-Pointers 74.9 60.8
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 32.3
Points From Free Throws 17.5 16.0
Shooting DEN WAS
Field Goals Made 47.8 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 91.0
Field Goal % 52.4% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 37.5 30.4
2 Pointers Attempted 62.6 59.4
2 Point Shooting % 59.9% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 17.5 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 21.0
Free Throw % 77.2% 76.3%
Ball Control DEN WAS
Rebounds 53.9 44.0
Rebounds - Defensive 40.7 32.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.2
Turnovers 11.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 6.5 4.7
Steals 6.7 6.4
Fouls 15.4 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN WAS
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 104.6 102.5
% of Possessions with DEN WAS
2 Point Attempt 53.1% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 27.1%
Player Fouled 16.6% 15.0%
Turnover 11.2% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN WAS
Shot Blocked 5.3% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 21.6%