NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND CLE
Points 118.2 116.4
Total Points   234.5
Points From 2-Pointers 65.0 64.3
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 33.0
Points From Free Throws 15.8 19.2
Shooting IND CLE
Field Goals Made 45.0 43.1
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 87.1
Field Goal % 50.0% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 32.5 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 56.8 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.3% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.2 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 15.8 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 25.2
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.0%
Ball Control IND CLE
Rebounds 46.0 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.6
Turnovers 11.5 12.6
Blocked Shots 5.9 4.4
Steals 7.1 5.9
Fouls 19.5 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND CLE
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 101.7 101.5
% of Possessions with IND CLE
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 26.2%
Player Fouled 15.3% 19.0%
Turnover 11.2% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND CLE
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 24.6%