NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND BOS
Points 115.2 122.9
Total Points   238.1
Points From 2-Pointers 62.7 63.8
Points From 3-Pointers 39.5 40.2
Points From Free Throws 13.0 19.0
Shooting IND BOS
Field Goals Made 44.5 45.3
Field Goals Attempted 95.7 90.3
Field Goal % 46.5% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 31.4 31.9
2 Pointers Attempted 59.3 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.5 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 13.0 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 24.0
Free Throw % 77.6% 79.1%
Ball Control IND BOS
Rebounds 47.2 52.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 40.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 12.5
Turnovers 10.2 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.5 6.4
Steals 5.5 5.5
Fouls 17.5 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND BOS
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.6 104.3
% of Possessions with IND BOS
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 29.8%
Player Fouled 13.9% 17.0%
Turnover 10.0% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND BOS
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 26.2%