NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND BOS
Points 115.1 125.1
Total Points   240.2
Points From 2-Pointers 62.9 64.1
Points From 3-Pointers 38.8 40.9
Points From Free Throws 13.4 20.1
Shooting IND BOS
Field Goals Made 44.4 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 95.5 89.9
Field Goal % 46.5% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.4 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 59.4 54.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 13.4 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 24.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 80.7%
Ball Control IND BOS
Rebounds 46.3 52.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.2 40.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 12.4
Turnovers 10.4 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.3 6.4
Steals 5.7 5.5
Fouls 18.2 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND BOS
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 104.5
% of Possessions with IND BOS
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 29.8%
Player Fouled 14.2% 17.7%
Turnover 10.1% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND BOS
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 26.5%