NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND LAC
Points 120.0 119.8
Total Points   239.8
Points From 2-Pointers 65.9 66.7
Points From 3-Pointers 37.8 30.7
Points From Free Throws 16.3 22.4
Shooting IND LAC
Field Goals Made 45.6 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 91.7 86.6
Field Goal % 49.7% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 33.0 33.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.1 59.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 16.3 22.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 26.8
Free Throw % 77.8% 83.5%
Ball Control IND LAC
Rebounds 45.2 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.3 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.7
Turnovers 10.8 12.2
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.7
Steals 6.7 6.0
Fouls 19.2 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND LAC
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 103.7 102.0
% of Possessions with IND LAC
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 23.5%
Player Fouled 16.2% 18.7%
Turnover 10.5% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND LAC
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 26.0%