NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND MEM
Points 122.4 110.3
Total Points   232.7
Points From 2-Pointers 66.0 58.3
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 31.8
Points From Free Throws 16.8 20.2
Shooting IND MEM
Field Goals Made 46.2 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 90.2 88.5
Field Goal % 51.2% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 33.0 29.2
2 Pointers Attempted 55.3 57.6
2 Point Shooting % 59.7% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 30.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 16.8 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 26.3
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.6%
Ball Control IND MEM
Rebounds 49.3 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 13.6
Turnovers 12.8 13.9
Blocked Shots 7.5 6.1
Steals 7.4 6.6
Fouls 19.3 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND MEM
Total Possessions 103.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 103.4
% of Possessions with IND MEM
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 25.7%
Player Fouled 16.6% 18.6%
Turnover 12.3% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND MEM
Shot Blocked 7.1% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 26.4%