NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND CHA
Points 123.6 110.9
Total Points   234.5
Points From 2-Pointers 67.5 64.0
Points From 3-Pointers 40.4 29.7
Points From Free Throws 15.6 17.2
Shooting IND CHA
Field Goals Made 47.3 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 89.5 88.0
Field Goal % 52.8% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 33.8 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 59.8
2 Point Shooting % 62.6% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 28.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 15.6 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 22.0
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.3%
Ball Control IND CHA
Rebounds 48.0 44.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.9
Turnovers 12.1 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.3
Steals 6.7 5.8
Fouls 17.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND CHA
Total Possessions 102.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 100.5
% of Possessions with IND CHA
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 24.3%
Player Fouled 15.8% 17.4%
Turnover 11.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND CHA
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 22.6%