NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND UTA
Points 129.8 120.9
Total Points   250.7
Points From 2-Pointers 69.7 66.7
Points From 3-Pointers 43.5 30.7
Points From Free Throws 16.6 23.5
Shooting IND UTA
Field Goals Made 49.4 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 94.4 89.0
Field Goal % 52.3% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 34.9 33.3
2 Pointers Attempted 58.1 59.5
2 Point Shooting % 60.1% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 29.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 16.6 23.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 28.0
Free Throw % 78.0% 83.7%
Ball Control IND UTA
Rebounds 44.6 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 14.1
Turnovers 10.2 14.1
Blocked Shots 7.6 5.3
Steals 7.7 5.0
Fouls 19.5 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND UTA
Total Possessions 104.9
Effective Scoring Chances 106.2 104.9
% of Possessions with IND UTA
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 48.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 24.2%
Player Fouled 15.7% 18.5%
Turnover 9.8% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND UTA
Shot Blocked 6.2% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 30.0%