NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND UTA
Points 111.5 119.4
Total Points   230.9
Points From 2-Pointers 62.3 53.6
Points From 3-Pointers 34.0 46.2
Points From Free Throws 15.2 19.7
Shooting IND UTA
Field Goals Made 42.5 42.2
Field Goals Attempted 93.5 89.9
Field Goal % 45.4% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.2 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 61.4 50.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 15.4
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 39.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 15.2 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 24.5
Free Throw % 79.6% 80.2%
Ball Control IND UTA
Rebounds 46.8 55.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 42.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 13.3
Turnovers 10.4 13.3
Blocked Shots 5.2 5.0
Steals 7.6 5.9
Fouls 18.1 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND UTA
Total Possessions 104.4
Effective Scoring Chances 104.1 104.4
% of Possessions with IND UTA
2 Point Attempt 52.7% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 33.0%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.3%
Turnover 10.0% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND UTA
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 26.6%