NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND SAC
Points 120.7 120.5
Total Points   241.1
Points From 2-Pointers 64.5 67.0
Points From 3-Pointers 38.3 34.3
Points From Free Throws 17.9 19.2
Shooting IND SAC
Field Goals Made 45.0 44.9
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 90.5
Field Goal % 50.6% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 32.2 33.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.9 58.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 17.9 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 25.7
Free Throw % 78.0% 74.7%
Ball Control IND SAC
Rebounds 45.5 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 13.1
Turnovers 11.9 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.4
Steals 6.7 6.2
Fouls 19.1 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND SAC
Total Possessions 104.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.2 105.6
% of Possessions with IND SAC
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 26.5%
Player Fouled 17.5% 18.3%
Turnover 11.4% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND SAC
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 26.8%