NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND NY
Points 116.8 117.3
Total Points   234.0
Points From 2-Pointers 64.3 63.9
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 33.0
Points From Free Throws 15.1 20.4
Shooting IND NY
Field Goals Made 44.6 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.5 89.2
Field Goal % 49.9% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 32.1 32.0
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 58.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.7 30.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 15.1 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 26.1
Free Throw % 76.8% 78.1%
Ball Control IND NY
Rebounds 44.2 51.7
Rebounds - Defensive 33.5 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 15.5
Turnovers 11.5 12.4
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.6
Steals 6.3 6.1
Fouls 18.9 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND NY
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.7 104.6
% of Possessions with IND NY
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 25.4%
Player Fouled 15.8% 18.6%
Turnover 11.3% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND NY
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 31.6%