NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND LAL
Points 123.5 121.0
Total Points   244.4
Points From 2-Pointers 68.7 69.9
Points From 3-Pointers 41.1 28.8
Points From Free Throws 13.6 22.3
Shooting IND LAL
Field Goals Made 48.1 44.6
Field Goals Attempted 96.0 85.6
Field Goal % 50.1% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made 34.4 35.0
2 Pointers Attempted 59.6 60.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 36.4 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 13.6 22.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 28.6
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.8%
Ball Control IND LAL
Rebounds 46.5 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.0 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.3
Turnovers 11.0 12.9
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.9
Steals 7.3 5.6
Fouls 20.5 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND LAL
Total Possessions 105.4
Effective Scoring Chances 105.9 101.8
% of Possessions with IND LAL
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 21.9%
Player Fouled 13.3% 19.4%
Turnover 10.4% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND LAL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 21.0%