NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND LAL
Points 124.0 121.7
Total Points   245.7
Points From 2-Pointers 68.9 70.4
Points From 3-Pointers 41.2 28.4
Points From Free Throws 13.9 22.8
Shooting IND LAL
Field Goals Made 48.2 44.7
Field Goals Attempted 96.0 85.8
Field Goal % 50.2% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 34.5 35.2
2 Pointers Attempted 59.9 60.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 13.9 22.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 29.4
Free Throw % 78.0% 77.6%
Ball Control IND LAL
Rebounds 46.3 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.6
Turnovers 11.2 12.9
Blocked Shots 5.7 5.0
Steals 7.5 5.7
Fouls 20.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND LAL
Total Possessions 105.8
Effective Scoring Chances 106.0 102.5
% of Possessions with IND LAL
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 21.6%
Player Fouled 13.2% 19.5%
Turnover 10.6% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND LAL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 21.5%