NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND DAL
Points 120.5 120.2
Total Points   240.6
Points From 2-Pointers 65.5 65.2
Points From 3-Pointers 38.4 34.2
Points From Free Throws 16.6 20.8
Shooting IND DAL
Field Goals Made 45.5 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 92.6 88.2
Field Goal % 49.2% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 32.7 32.6
2 Pointers Attempted 58.3 56.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 16.6 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 27.6
Free Throw % 77.6% 75.4%
Ball Control IND DAL
Rebounds 48.1 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.2
Turnovers 11.3 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.1
Steals 6.7 5.4
Fouls 21.0 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND DAL
Total Possessions 104.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 104.2
% of Possessions with IND DAL
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 26.8%
Player Fouled 15.9% 20.1%
Turnover 10.8% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND DAL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 23.5%