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Indiana at Toronto
Wed Oct 27, 2021
7:30pm ET
Toronto, Ont
Indiana at Toronto: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toronto by 1, Total Points: 214
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | IND | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 45-37-3 | 35-46-1 | |
| vs Division | 12-7-0 | 4-12-0 | |
| vs Conference | 31-22-1 | 23-28-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 22-17-2 | 14-27-0 | |
| Away | 23-20-1 | 21-19-1 |
Indiana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Washington | -4.5 | W by 23 | +18.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Cleveland | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Chicago | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Boston | +13.0 | L by 51 | -38.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Cleveland | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Charlotte | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 41 | +32.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Utah | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Milwaukee | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.5 | W by 6 | +12.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Orlando | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Atlanta | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Toronto | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Portland | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Miami | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Boston | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Milwaukee | +5.0 | W by 9 | +14.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | LA Lakers | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Detroit | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Washington | -8.0 | L by 14 | -22.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Minnesota | +10.5 | L by 18 | -7.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | LA Clippers | +4.0 | L by 24 | -20.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Charlotte | -10.5 | W by 31 | +20.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Memphis | +2.0 | L by 13 | -11.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Orlando | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Houston | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | New York | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | Milwaukee | +8.0 | W by 9 | +17.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Milwaukee | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Atlanta | -3.0 | W by 34 | +31.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Boston | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Atlanta | +6.0 | W by 18 | +24.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Denver | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Utah | +7.0 | L by 27 | -20.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Sacramento | +8.5 | W by 5 | +13.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Phoenix | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Denver | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | Philadelphia | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Phoenix | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Memphis | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Boston | +8.0 | L by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | New York | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Houston | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Golden State | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | New York | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Charlotte | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Toronto | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 14 | +2.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Dallas | +2.0 | W by 22 | +24.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Toronto | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | New Orleans | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | New Orleans | +5.5 | L by 27 | -21.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | San Antonio | -6.5 | L by 12 | -18.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Dallas | +5.5 | W by 17 | +22.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Minnesota | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Orlando | (Pick) | W by 14 | +14.0 |
| 03/12 | Away | Okla City | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 03/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 03/18 | Home | Cleveland | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 19 | +8.0 |
| 03/22 | Away | Golden State | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | LA Lakers | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 26 | -29.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 04/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 04/03 | Away | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Okla City | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Atlanta | -13.5 | W by 42 | +28.5 |
| 04/21 | Away | Milwaukee | -1.5 | L by 15 | -16.5 |
| 04/23 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | W by 17 | +18.0 |
Toronto Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Minnesota | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 10/27 | Away | Chicago | +2.5 | L by 1 | +1.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.0 | L by 7 | -2.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Portland | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | W by 19 | +23.0 |
| 11/02 | Away | Philadelphia | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/05 | Away | San Antonio | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | W by 11 | +15.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Boston | +9.0 | L by 23 | -14.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Milwaukee | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Boston | +9.0 | L by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 29 | +19.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.5 | L by 19 | -17.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | W by 13 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Brooklyn | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Phoenix | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | New York | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Miami | -4.0 | L by 9 | -13.0 |
| 12/08 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New York | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Atlanta | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Atlanta | -1.5 | L by 21 | -22.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Utah | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Washington | -7.0 | W by 30 | +23.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Boston | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Detroit | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Cleveland | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Sacramento | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Golden State | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | LA Clippers | +11.5 | L by 6 | +5.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Utah | +1.5 | L by 32 | -30.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Boston | +6.5 | L by 9 | -2.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Miami | +3.0 | W by 24 | +27.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Chicago | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | New York | +7.5 | L by 26 | -18.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Memphis | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 20 | -12.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Atlanta | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Chicago | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Houston | +4.5 | L by 29 | -24.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | New Orleans | +10.5 | L by 38 | -27.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 6 | -1.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Houston | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Cleveland | +8.5 | L by 24 | -15.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | San Antonio | -6.0 | L by 23 | -29.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Indiana | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 28 | +27.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Atlanta | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Indiana | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | New Orleans | +9.5 | L by 41 | -31.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Phoenix | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Portland | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 03/11 | Away | Denver | +17.0 | L by 6 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Away | Detroit | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 03/15 | Home | Orlando | +8.0 | L by 10 | -2.0 |
| 03/17 | Away | Orlando | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | Sacramento | +11.0 | L by 34 | -23.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | Okla City | +16.5 | L by 20 | -3.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Washington | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 03/25 | Home | Brooklyn | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/27 | Home | New York | +14.0 | L by 44 | -30.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Philadelphia | +9.0 | L by 15 | -6.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | LA Lakers | +13.0 | L by 17 | -4.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | Minnesota | +17.5 | L by 48 | -30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Milwaukee | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | Washington | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Indiana | +14.0 | L by 17 | -3.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Brooklyn | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Miami | +14.0 | L by 22 | -8.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Miami | +16.0 | L by 15 | +1.0 |
| TOR -1.0 | Open | +1.5 | High | -1.0 |
| Last | +1.0 | Low | +2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 498 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0 to 2 points. In these games:
- The team like Toronto won the game 266 times (53.4%).
- The team like Indiana won the game 232 times (46.6%).
- The team like Toronto did better against the spread, going 250-241-7 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season there have been 148 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Toronto did better against the spread, going 75-71-2 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.0 | -1.5 | -1.0 |
| Open | +1.0 | +1.0 | +1.5 |
| History | |||
| 10/27 07:31 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 07:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 10/27 06:16 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 03:43 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 03:24 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 10/27 03:14 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 10/27 03:10 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 02:55 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 10/27 02:14 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/27 01:16 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 12:58 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 12:37 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 11:25 AM | -- | -- | (Pick) |
| 10/27 11:24 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/27 11:10 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 10:54 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/27 10:34 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/27 10:20 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 10:05 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 10/27 10:04 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/27 09:49 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 09:44 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/27 09:31 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 09:14 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/27 08:58 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:55 AM | -- | -- | (Pick) |
| 10/27 08:49 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 08:25 AM | -- | -- | +1.5 |
| 10/27 08:13 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 07:45 AM | -- | -- | +1.5 |
| 10/27 07:31 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 07:15 AM | -- | -- | +1.5 |
| 10/27 06:55 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 06:07 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 04:44 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 04:04 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 03:54 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 10/27 03:28 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/27 12:05 AM | -- | -- | +1.5 |
| 10/26 09:44 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 07:46 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/26 05:04 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 10/26 04:52 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
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