NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND TOR
Points 126.6 117.6
Total Points   244.2
Points From 2-Pointers 71.9 69.7
Points From 3-Pointers 39.4 28.6
Points From Free Throws 15.3 19.4
Shooting IND TOR
Field Goals Made 49.1 44.4
Field Goals Attempted 93.3 90.3
Field Goal % 52.6% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 36.0 34.8
2 Pointers Attempted 58.6 62.8
2 Point Shooting % 61.3% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 27.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 15.3 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 25.6
Free Throw % 76.8% 75.8%
Ball Control IND TOR
Rebounds 48.2 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 12.5
Turnovers 12.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 6.3 4.8
Steals 6.7 6.5
Fouls 18.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND TOR
Total Possessions 105.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 104.8
% of Possessions with IND TOR
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 22.8%
Player Fouled 15.7% 17.5%
Turnover 11.6% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND TOR
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 25.7%