NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND OKC
Points 119.0 125.2
Total Points   244.3
Points From 2-Pointers 60.7 71.2
Points From 3-Pointers 40.7 32.6
Points From Free Throws 17.7 21.5
Shooting IND OKC
Field Goals Made 43.9 46.5
Field Goals Attempted 91.7 89.4
Field Goal % 47.9% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 35.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 61.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 36.0 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 17.7 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 25.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 82.8%
Ball Control IND OKC
Rebounds 47.2 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 10.2
Turnovers 13.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.7 6.7
Steals 6.6 6.8
Fouls 20.0 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND OKC
Total Possessions 105.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.7 103.9
% of Possessions with IND OKC
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 51.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 23.8%
Player Fouled 16.1% 18.9%
Turnover 12.7% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND OKC
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 22.8%