NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND POR
Points 125.8 111.9
Total Points   237.6
Points From 2-Pointers 73.3 64.2
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 27.5
Points From Free Throws 18.4 20.2
Shooting IND POR
Field Goals Made 48.0 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 90.6
Field Goal % 54.0% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 36.6 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 56.7 63.6
2 Point Shooting % 64.7% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 18.4 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 25.4
Free Throw % 78.0% 79.4%
Ball Control IND POR
Rebounds 46.9 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 15.5
Turnovers 11.9 13.8
Blocked Shots 7.1 4.4
Steals 8.0 5.9
Fouls 18.2 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND POR
Total Possessions 103.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 105.3
% of Possessions with IND POR
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 52.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 22.2%
Player Fouled 17.7% 17.5%
Turnover 11.5% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND POR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 30.1%