NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND GS
Points 122.8 122.7
Total Points   245.4
Points From 2-Pointers 66.1 67.8
Points From 3-Pointers 39.9 36.0
Points From Free Throws 16.8 18.9
Shooting IND GS
Field Goals Made 46.3 45.9
Field Goals Attempted 92.9 92.2
Field Goal % 49.9% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 33.0 33.9
2 Pointers Attempted 56.6 60.1
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 36.3 32.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 16.8 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 24.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 76.4%
Ball Control IND GS
Rebounds 46.3 51.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.8 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 14.3
Turnovers 11.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.6
Steals 7.0 5.5
Fouls 18.5 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND GS
Total Possessions 105.2
Effective Scoring Chances 105.5 106.6
% of Possessions with IND GS
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 26.3%
Player Fouled 16.5% 17.6%
Turnover 10.6% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND GS
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 29.1%