NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO PHI
Points 112.9 115.0
Total Points   228.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.3 55.5
Points From 3-Pointers 38.9 41.8
Points From Free Throws 17.8 17.7
Shooting NO PHI
Field Goals Made 41.1 41.7
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 88.6
Field Goal % 48.0% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 50.2 49.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 38.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 17.8 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 22.4
Free Throw % 77.1% 79.2%
Ball Control NO PHI
Rebounds 49.9 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 12.2
Turnovers 14.7 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.4
Steals 7.2 9.1
Fouls 16.9 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO PHI
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.8 101.5
% of Possessions with NO PHI
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 33.5%
Player Fouled 17.0% 16.7%
Turnover 14.5% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO PHI
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 25.0%