NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO CLE
Points 110.8 108.8
Total Points   219.5
Points From 2-Pointers 57.8 50.9
Points From 3-Pointers 36.1 42.6
Points From Free Throws 16.8 15.3
Shooting NO CLE
Field Goals Made 41.0 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 84.9
Field Goal % 47.8% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 25.5
2 Pointers Attempted 54.2 44.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 40.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 16.8 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 20.1
Free Throw % 77.4% 76.0%
Ball Control NO CLE
Rebounds 48.2 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 10.4
Turnovers 11.8 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.3
Steals 7.8 6.0
Fouls 16.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO CLE
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 98.5 96.6
% of Possessions with NO CLE
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 36.1%
Player Fouled 15.5% 17.0%
Turnover 11.9% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO CLE
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 21.8%