NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO BOS
Points 108.8 116.4
Total Points   225.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 48.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.2 52.5
Points From Free Throws 14.2 15.1
Shooting NO BOS
Field Goals Made 40.9 41.9
Field Goals Attempted 91.8 88.4
Field Goal % 44.5% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 24.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.0 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 17.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 46.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 14.2 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 19.1
Free Throw % 77.4% 79.1%
Ball Control NO BOS
Rebounds 49.8 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.2 39.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 11.2
Turnovers 10.4 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.4 6.3
Steals 6.1 5.5
Fouls 15.1 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO BOS
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 99.8
% of Possessions with NO BOS
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 41.4%
Player Fouled 14.2% 15.2%
Turnover 10.5% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO BOS
Shot Blocked 7.2% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 23.2%