NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO LAC
Points 114.2 112.8
Total Points   227.0
Points From 2-Pointers 59.5 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 40.7
Points From Free Throws 17.2 18.1
Shooting NO LAC
Field Goals Made 42.3 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 84.6
Field Goal % 48.2% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.8 47.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.9 36.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 17.2 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 21.9
Free Throw % 76.9% 82.9%
Ball Control NO LAC
Rebounds 47.6 45.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 10.4
Turnovers 11.2 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.0
Steals 7.2 6.0
Fouls 17.2 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO LAC
Total Possessions 99.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 97.3
% of Possessions with NO LAC
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 33.1%
Player Fouled 16.4% 17.3%
Turnover 11.2% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO LAC
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 22.7%