NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO MEM
Points 114.8 102.4
Total Points   217.2
Points From 2-Pointers 59.3 44.2
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 41.9
Points From Free Throws 18.2 16.3
Shooting NO MEM
Field Goals Made 42.1 36.1
Field Goals Attempted 86.4 85.5
Field Goal % 48.7% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.7 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 42.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 18.2 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 21.6
Free Throw % 76.9% 75.8%
Ball Control NO MEM
Rebounds 52.1 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.5
Turnovers 13.1 14.5
Blocked Shots 5.9 6.1
Steals 8.2 6.4
Fouls 17.4 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO MEM
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 98.0
% of Possessions with NO MEM
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 36.6%
Player Fouled 16.9% 17.2%
Turnover 13.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO MEM
Shot Blocked 7.3% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 22.3%