NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO MEM
Points 114.4 117.6
Total Points   232.0
Points From 2-Pointers 63.5 63.9
Points From 3-Pointers 31.1 37.1
Points From Free Throws 19.8 16.6
Shooting NO MEM
Field Goals Made 42.1 44.3
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 91.8
Field Goal % 47.3% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 31.7 31.9
2 Pointers Attempted 59.6 57.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.3 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 19.8 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 27.3 21.5
Free Throw % 72.7% 77.4%
Ball Control NO MEM
Rebounds 52.0 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 11.0
Turnovers 13.6 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.6 6.8
Steals 6.9 7.9
Fouls 15.8 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO MEM
Total Possessions 104.9
Effective Scoring Chances 104.5 104.2
% of Possessions with NO MEM
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 28.8%
Player Fouled 17.5% 15.0%
Turnover 12.9% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO MEM
Shot Blocked 7.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 22.1%