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New Orleans at Miami
Sat Nov 16, 2019
8:00pm ET
Miami, FL
New Orleans at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 8, Total Points: 226.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NO | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 44-38-1 | 41-40-2 | |
| vs Division | 7-8-1 | 9-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 27-25-1 | 27-24-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 20-21-0 | 16-25-0 | |
| Away | 24-17-1 | 25-15-2 |
New Orleans Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | New York | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | L by 28 | -31.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Okla City | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 11/02 | Home | Detroit | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Atlanta | -2.0 | L by 18 | -20.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Minnesota | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Houston | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | W by 21 | +24.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Denver | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Sacramento | +2.0 | W by 36 | +38.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Sacramento | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/27 | Away | Utah | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 15 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/04 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | LA Lakers | +2.0 | L by 44 | -42.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Minnesota | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Washington | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Charlotte | -9.5 | W by 5 | -4.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | L by 2 | -9.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Memphis | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.5 | W by 20 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Brooklyn | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Minnesota | +6.0 | W by 11 | +17.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Sacramento | +4.5 | W by 33 | +37.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Golden State | -2.5 | W by 36 | +33.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Dallas | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Dallas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Charlotte | -12.0 | W by 20 | +8.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Utah | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | L by 24 | -23.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 24 | -20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Boston | +8.0 | L by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Houston | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Toronto | -10.5 | W by 38 | +27.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 11 | +16.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.5 | L by 17 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Memphis | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Washington | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Houston | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Miami | -2.0 | L by 11 | -13.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | New York | -6.5 | W by 23 | +16.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Indiana | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Toronto | -9.5 | W by 41 | +31.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Philadelphia | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Atlanta | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 21 | -26.5 |
| 03/15 | Home | LA Clippers | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/16 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 19 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Brooklyn | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/21 | Away | Orlando | -2.5 | L by 15 | -17.5 |
| 03/22 | Away | Miami | +3.0 | W by 23 | +26.0 |
| 03/24 | Away | Detroit | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | L by 7 | -6.0 |
| 03/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 03/30 | Home | Boston | +6.0 | L by 12 | -6.0 |
| 04/01 | Home | Phoenix | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Orlando | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Portland | -14.0 | W by 10 | -4.0 |
| 04/11 | Away | Sacramento | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Golden State | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 04/16 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 1 | -8.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | W by 1 | -0.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Memphis | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Atlanta | +7.5 | W by 8 | +15.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | San Antonio | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Charlotte | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Chicago | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Cleveland | +1.5 | W by 33 | +34.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | New York | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Brooklyn | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Toronto | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Cleveland | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Orlando | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Atlanta | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 12/25 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Golden State | +6.5 | W by 12 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | LA Clippers | +8.0 | L by 17 | -9.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 16 | -13.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Okla City | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Charlotte | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Brooklyn | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Toronto | -3.0 | L by 24 | -27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Atlanta | -7.0 | L by 1 | -8.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Orlando | +1.0 | L by 18 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Memphis | -11.5 | L by 9 | -20.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Boston | +8.5 | L by 33 | -24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | New York | +4.5 | L by 16 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Sacramento | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Washington | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Orlando | -3.5 | W by 26 | +22.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Boston | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 26 | +33.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | New Orleans | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | W by 11 | +18.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 8 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Okla City | +8.5 | L by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Washington | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Denver | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 03/15 | Away | Detroit | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/17 | Away | Detroit | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Philadelphia | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | L by 23 | -26.0 |
| 03/24 | Home | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 37 | +33.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Golden State | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 03/29 | Home | Portland | -14.0 | W by 60 | +46.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Washington | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 04/02 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Philadelphia | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 04/05 | Away | Houston | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Atlanta | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Dallas | +2.5 | L by 19 | -16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 22 | +8.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Toronto | -16.0 | W by 15 | -1.0 |
| 04/17 | Away | Philadelphia | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| MIA -8.0 | Open | -8.0 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 854 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 640 times (74.9%).
- The team like New Orleans won the game 214 times (25.1%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 417-414-23 (50.2% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 875 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like New Orleans did better against the spread, going 434-422-19 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -8.0 | -8.0 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/16 08:06 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 07:46 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 11/16 07:40 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 11/16 07:34 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 07:33 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/16 07:15 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 11/16 06:46 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 11/16 06:10 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 05:27 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 04:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/16 04:20 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 04:15 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 04:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/16 03:33 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/16 03:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 02:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/16 02:26 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 02:15 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 11/16 02:08 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 01:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 11/16 01:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 01:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/16 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 11/16 12:32 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 12:24 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/16 12:16 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/16 11:54 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/16 11:53 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 10:25 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 09:45 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 09:33 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/16 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
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