NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO CHA
Points 116.6 104.4
Total Points   221.0
Points From 2-Pointers 61.0 51.0
Points From 3-Pointers 39.0 39.3
Points From Free Throws 16.6 14.1
Shooting NO CHA
Field Goals Made 43.5 38.6
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 84.6
Field Goal % 50.7% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 30.5 25.5
2 Pointers Attempted 51.9 46.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.7% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.9 38.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 16.6 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 17.8
Free Throw % 77.4% 78.9%
Ball Control NO CHA
Rebounds 49.9 42.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.0
Turnovers 12.0 13.2
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.3
Steals 7.1 5.6
Fouls 15.8 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO CHA
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.5 95.0
% of Possessions with NO CHA
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 34.6%
Player Fouled 15.9% 15.9%
Turnover 12.1% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO CHA
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 19.0%