NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO SAC
Points 113.2 112.4
Total Points   225.6
Points From 2-Pointers 57.7 52.8
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 44.4
Points From Free Throws 18.7 15.1
Shooting NO SAC
Field Goals Made 41.1 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 84.7 88.2
Field Goal % 48.5% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.4 46.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.3 41.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 18.7 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 20.3
Free Throw % 77.4% 74.6%
Ball Control NO SAC
Rebounds 48.0 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 11.7
Turnovers 12.3 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.3
Steals 7.3 6.3
Fouls 16.4 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO SAC
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 98.8 100.4
% of Possessions with NO SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 36.7%
Player Fouled 17.5% 16.2%
Turnover 12.1% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO SAC
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 23.5%