NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO SAC
Points 112.8 112.6
Total Points   225.4
Points From 2-Pointers 57.7 53.0
Points From 3-Pointers 36.4 44.5
Points From Free Throws 18.7 15.1
Shooting NO SAC
Field Goals Made 41.0 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 84.5 88.1
Field Goal % 48.5% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 26.5
2 Pointers Attempted 53.4 46.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 41.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 18.7 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 20.3
Free Throw % 77.6% 74.6%
Ball Control NO SAC
Rebounds 47.8 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 11.6
Turnovers 12.3 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.3
Steals 7.2 6.3
Fouls 16.5 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO SAC
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 98.5 100.3
% of Possessions with NO SAC
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 36.7%
Player Fouled 17.6% 16.3%
Turnover 12.2% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO SAC
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 23.5%