NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO NY
Points 110.6 108.4
Total Points   219.0
Points From 2-Pointers 58.8 50.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 41.9
Points From Free Throws 16.5 16.4
Shooting NO NY
Field Goals Made 41.2 39.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 87.4
Field Goal % 48.1% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 25.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.5 46.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.1 40.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 16.5 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 21.0
Free Throw % 76.9% 78.1%
Ball Control NO NY
Rebounds 47.4 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 14.2
Turnovers 11.5 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.5
Steals 6.8 5.8
Fouls 16.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO NY
Total Possessions 98.4
Effective Scoring Chances 98.1 100.0
% of Possessions with NO NY
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 35.5%
Player Fouled 16.2% 16.7%
Turnover 11.7% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO NY
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 28.2%