NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO NY
Points 110.7 108.5
Total Points   219.3
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 50.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.6 41.9
Points From Free Throws 16.3 16.5
Shooting NO NY
Field Goals Made 41.3 39.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.5 87.4
Field Goal % 48.3% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 25.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.4 46.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.1 40.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 16.3 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 21.1
Free Throw % 76.9% 78.1%
Ball Control NO NY
Rebounds 47.3 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 14.4
Turnovers 11.6 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.5
Steals 6.7 5.9
Fouls 16.4 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO NY
Total Possessions 98.3
Effective Scoring Chances 97.9 100.1
% of Possessions with NO NY
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 35.5%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.7%
Turnover 11.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO NY
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 28.5%