NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO LAL
Points 115.6 114.2
Total Points   229.8
Points From 2-Pointers 61.5 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 37.5
Points From Free Throws 14.5 17.8
Shooting NO LAL
Field Goals Made 43.9 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 91.8 83.8
Field Goal % 47.9% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 57.1 49.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 14.5 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 22.9
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.8%
Ball Control NO LAL
Rebounds 48.0 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.2
Turnovers 11.4 13.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.8
Steals 8.1 5.7
Fouls 17.9 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO LAL
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 97.0
% of Possessions with NO LAL
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 30.3%
Player Fouled 13.4% 17.5%
Turnover 11.2% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO LAL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 18.5%