NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO DAL
Points 113.6 112.8
Total Points   226.5
Points From 2-Pointers 58.6 51.9
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 44.4
Points From Free Throws 17.6 16.6
Shooting NO DAL
Field Goals Made 41.8 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 86.6
Field Goal % 47.3% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 25.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 44.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 42.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 17.6 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 21.9
Free Throw % 77.4% 75.6%
Ball Control NO DAL
Rebounds 50.4 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 10.1
Turnovers 11.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.0
Steals 7.4 5.5
Fouls 18.2 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO DAL
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 99.6
% of Possessions with NO DAL
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 37.2%
Player Fouled 15.9% 17.9%
Turnover 11.6% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO DAL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 20.8%