NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO DEN
Points 110.4 113.2
Total Points   223.6
Points From 2-Pointers 59.7 61.2
Points From 3-Pointers 32.0 37.0
Points From Free Throws 18.7 15.0
Shooting NO DEN
Field Goals Made 40.5 42.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 86.9
Field Goal % 46.5% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 30.6
2 Pointers Attempted 57.6 52.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 29.4 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 18.7 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 19.6
Free Throw % 77.4% 76.4%
Ball Control NO DEN
Rebounds 47.1 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.1
Turnovers 10.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.1 5.5
Steals 6.9 5.6
Fouls 16.0 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO DEN
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.7 98.5
% of Possessions with NO DEN
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 30.4%
Player Fouled 16.2% 16.1%
Turnover 10.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO DEN
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 23.9%