NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO DEN
Points 110.8 111.8
Total Points   222.6
Points From 2-Pointers 60.7 61.0
Points From 3-Pointers 31.6 35.4
Points From Free Throws 18.5 15.3
Shooting NO DEN
Field Goals Made 40.9 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 87.3
Field Goal % 46.9% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.4 30.5
2 Pointers Attempted 58.0 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.2 33.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 18.5 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 19.8
Free Throw % 76.9% 77.2%
Ball Control NO DEN
Rebounds 47.9 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 11.5
Turnovers 10.7 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.5
Steals 7.0 5.5
Fouls 16.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO DEN
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 98.9
% of Possessions with NO DEN
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 29.9%
Player Fouled 16.2% 16.2%
Turnover 10.8% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO DEN
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 24.4%