NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO SA
Points 116.9 108.0
Total Points   225.0
Points From 2-Pointers 65.1 54.1
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 38.5
Points From Free Throws 16.9 15.4
Shooting NO SA
Field Goals Made 44.2 39.9
Field Goals Attempted 90.0 88.0
Field Goal % 49.1% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 32.6 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 59.3 49.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 38.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 16.9 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 19.8
Free Throw % 76.9% 77.7%
Ball Control NO SA
Rebounds 50.3 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 11.2
Turnovers 12.0 14.2
Blocked Shots 4.5 6.3
Steals 8.7 5.9
Fouls 16.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO SA
Total Possessions 102.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.2 99.8
% of Possessions with NO SA
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 33.4%
Player Fouled 14.8% 15.7%
Turnover 11.6% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO SA
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 22.3%