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New Orleans at Minnesota
Sat Jan 23, 2021
8:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
New Orleans at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: New Orleans by 8.5, Total Points: 217
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NO | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 44-38-1 | 40-40-2 | |
| vs Division | 7-8-1 | 10-4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 27-25-1 | 25-25-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 20-21-0 | 18-21-2 | |
| Away | 24-17-1 | 22-19-0 |
New Orleans Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | New York | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Golden State | -3.0 | L by 28 | -31.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Okla City | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 11/02 | Home | Detroit | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Atlanta | -2.0 | L by 18 | -20.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Denver | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Minnesota | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Houston | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Dallas | +3.5 | W by 21 | +24.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Denver | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Sacramento | +2.0 | W by 36 | +38.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Sacramento | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Utah | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/27 | Away | Utah | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Philadelphia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 15 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/04 | Away | Sacramento | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | LA Lakers | +2.0 | L by 44 | -42.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Minnesota | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Washington | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Charlotte | -9.5 | W by 5 | -4.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 36 | +28.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Memphis | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Cleveland | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | L by 2 | -9.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Memphis | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Utah | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | LA Lakers | -5.5 | W by 20 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Brooklyn | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Minnesota | +6.0 | W by 11 | +17.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Sacramento | +4.5 | W by 33 | +37.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Golden State | -2.5 | W by 36 | +33.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Dallas | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Dallas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Charlotte | -12.0 | W by 20 | +8.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Utah | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | L by 24 | -23.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 24 | -20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Boston | +8.0 | L by 6 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Houston | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Toronto | -10.5 | W by 38 | +27.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 11 | +16.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.5 | L by 17 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 9 | +0.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Memphis | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Washington | -14.5 | W by 7 | -7.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Houston | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Miami | -2.0 | L by 11 | -13.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | New York | -6.5 | W by 23 | +16.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Indiana | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Toronto | -9.5 | W by 41 | +31.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Philadelphia | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Atlanta | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 21 | -26.5 |
| 03/15 | Home | LA Clippers | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/16 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 19 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Brooklyn | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/21 | Away | Orlando | -2.5 | L by 15 | -17.5 |
| 03/22 | Away | Miami | +3.0 | W by 23 | +26.0 |
| 03/24 | Away | Detroit | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | L by 7 | -6.0 |
| 03/28 | Home | Milwaukee | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 03/30 | Home | Boston | +6.0 | L by 12 | -6.0 |
| 04/01 | Home | Phoenix | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Orlando | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 04/09 | Away | Portland | -14.0 | W by 10 | -4.0 |
| 04/11 | Away | Sacramento | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Golden State | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 04/16 | Home | LA Lakers | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Toronto | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Miami | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Atlanta | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | Denver | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | W by 28 | +20.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | New Orleans | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | San Antonio | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Golden State | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Golden State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | New Orleans | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | New York | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | L by 13 | -17.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Memphis | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Utah | -11.0 | W by 11 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Charlotte | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Antonio | -11.5 | W by 8 | -3.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 24 | +18.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | New Orleans | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/14 | Away | Dallas | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Indiana | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Miami | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Philadelphia | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | LA Lakers | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Okla City | +2.0 | L by 23 | -21.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Dallas | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | LA Lakers | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | New York | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | New Orleans | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 27 | +23.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Dallas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Orlando | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | Portland | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | LA Clippers | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Memphis | -12.0 | W by 15 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Okla City | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | San Antonio | -10.5 | L by 1 | -11.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Okla City | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Dallas | -13.0 | W by 34 | +21.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Orlando | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 21 | +13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Chicago | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Milwaukee | -2.0 | W by 24 | +22.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Portland | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 37 | +27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Milwaukee | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Brooklyn | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | San Antonio | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Memphis | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Sacramento | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | LA Clippers | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Portland | -15.5 | W by 5 | -10.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Indiana | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Cleveland | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Lakers | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | LA Clippers | +5.5 | W by 18 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Away | Utah | -7.5 | W by 19 | +11.5 |
| 03/18 | Away | Utah | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Denver | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Cleveland | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Golden State | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/27 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 15 | -1.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Denver | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Chicago | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 04/02 | Home | Houston | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 04/03 | Home | Toronto | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Phoenix | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 04/07 | Away | LA Lakers | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Washington | -18.0 | W by 9 | -9.0 |
| 04/10 | Away | Denver | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Atlanta | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Phoenix | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| NO -8.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -9.0 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 326 games where the closing line favored the away team by 7.5 to 9.5 points. In these games:
- The team like New Orleans won the game 264 times (81.0%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 62 times (19.0%).
- The team like New Orleans did better against the spread, going 166-156-4 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 14 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 8-6 (57.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.5 | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/23 08:08 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:53 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:32 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:11 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:04 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/23 06:53 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 01/23 06:44 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 01/23 06:38 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 06:35 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 01/23 06:32 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 06:08 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:17 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 04:52 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 04:29 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:59 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:50 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:34 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 01/23 02:15 PM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 01/23 02:11 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 01/23 02:02 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 12:56 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 12:08 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:52 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:34 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:17 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:07 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:02 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 08:52 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 08:19 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 07:29 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 06:44 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 04:47 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 04:25 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 03:17 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:34 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/22 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 01/22 10:16 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 01/22 04:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 01/22 04:08 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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