NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO MIN
Points 106.5 109.3
Total Points   215.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 52.1
Points From 3-Pointers 32.0 40.1
Points From Free Throws 18.9 17.2
Shooting NO MIN
Field Goals Made 38.5 39.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.5 83.8
Field Goal % 45.0% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 47.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.8 36.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 18.9 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 22.2
Free Throw % 76.9% 77.4%
Ball Control NO MIN
Rebounds 48.3 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.3
Turnovers 12.3 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.9
Steals 7.6 6.0
Fouls 17.8 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO MIN
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.4 96.9
% of Possessions with NO MIN
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 32.3%
Player Fouled 16.9% 17.8%
Turnover 12.3% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO MIN
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 22.1%